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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] There's little that's "inevitable" about AI
1·20 days agoIt’s so funny to me how people don’t understand that everything connects together. Technology doesn’t exist in a vacuum, it’s tied to the broader society and economy at large. The reality of the situation is that the statistics show a lagging economy overall in the US, and the money is concentrated in a handful of data centers. So, any disruption to the whole AI build out would almost certainly lead to a major economic crash. And in a situation where you have massive amounts of money being poured into a particular tech that’s become central to how the whole economy functions, it should be obvious why a few plucky bloggers aren’t going to change the direction of travel.
The author talks about social value, but doesn’t seem to realize that the fitness function in a capitalist economy is profit with any social value produced being strictly incidental. There are plenty of enterprises, such as the whole fossil fuel industry, that are actively harmful to humanity. But since they’re large and profitable, they continue to flourish in face of that.
The most likely scenario here is that we are in a huge bubble that’s driven by capitalist markets, and eventually the bubble will pop leading to another economic crash, which happen roughly every decade under capitalism. At that point the exuberance over AI will fade, but it’s highly unlikely the technology itself will simply disappear. I expect that it will be more like the dotcom bubble which created the foundation for the internet today.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
1·22 days agoYeah for sure, it’s the kind of stuff I really hope people will start exploring going forward.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
1·23 days agoI suspect there is enough training data, especially for actually useful applications like agentic coding. But doing the actual training from scratch is a challenge. And I think this is where more research could be done on how to partition the training so it can be done in a distributed way. If you could have a system like SETI@home for example where people can donate a few cycles towards the training, you could likely do it fairly effectively with the cost being amortized across the network.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[programming] Reasons to dislike AI coding
1·23 days agodeleted by creator
lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
1·24 days agoAgreed, these models are not at the cutting edge of what’s possible by any means. Although, I do think they provide a foundation to build on. Personally, I’d really like to see more efforts like Petals training and running models in a distributed fashion. Labs working on open weight models do tend to publish a lot of their research, so even if they don’t release the source, the papers they produce can be adopted by the fully open implementations.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
1·24 days agoThere are a few fully open models around with training data sources, etc., available out there. They’re not frontier level, but they do exist.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
1·26 days agoThe architecture would have to be a lot more efficient for that to be practical. Training a large model from scratch takes a huge amount of resources, and even big labs tend to use foundational models to build on because of that.
And in practical terms there’s not much advantage to retraining the general knowledge part of the model. I’ve trained LoRAs for Qwen, and if you can drastically change the behavior of the model by training higher layers on your own dataset.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
1·27 days agoI’m still not following the point I’m afraid, and how the tool being open to inspection is relevant here.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
1·27 days agoI mean it’s a neural network where you adjust weights. How else would you propose going about it? The engines, like llama.cpp and vllm, that run the models are open source.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] The AI Pascal’s Wager
0·29 days agoI love how every one of these articles will have a straw man like:
Developing your project become increasingly dependent of on expensive and completely proprietary software over which you have no control.
I guess the position comes from the fact that anti LLM crowd doesn’t actually use or understand how this tech works. So, they’re just constructing arguments in the abstract based on how they think this tech works and what it can do.
The reality is that you can run a model like a Qwen 3.8 on a laptop, and it can do plenty of real world work without you being dependent on any expensive and completely proprietary software. You run a tool on your machine that you have full control over. But of course, if you just ignore the technology you’re discussing, then you can come up with all sort of nonsense to base your argument on.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] On not becoming a cyborg
1·18 days agoPerhaps you should define what you think socialism is exactly.
Anarchism is clearly a form of socialism because it shares the core socialist goal of abolishing capitalism and replacing private ownership with collective ownership.
But if you think socialism is synonymous with Marxism, then I disagree with Maoism and Trotskyism as well.
And yes, I plenty of socialist youtubers covering socialist politics I agree with are grifters. Hasan Piker and Jackson Hinkle are a prime examples.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] On not becoming a cyborg
0·2 months agoAbsolutely, I’m a big supporter of socialism and I completely disagree with the anarchist approach to flat organization and rejection of authority.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] On not becoming a cyborg
0·2 months agoNah, I have a problem with people wasting energy on Quixotian endeavours even when I agree with the concerns because that energy could’ve been directed towards doing something constructive instead. Performative outrage isn’t noble, it’s a lazy way for people make themselves feel relevant without actually doing anything of value.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] On not becoming a cyborg
0·2 months agoMy stance is that perseveration is not effective at achieving anything tangible, unless of course spectacle itself is the goal.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] On not becoming a cyborg
0·2 months agoSo, it’s been a few years now, has articulating concern in this fashion actually effected any tangible change, what is the goal here aside from performative outrage?
And a position does not automatically become valid simply because a large number of people believe it.
Finally, nobody is ignoring or not considering anything here. The context is that this has, in fact, been considered and discussed to death at this point. But if you’re claiming that some new point that hasn’t been considered already is being made, by all means enlighten me as to what it might be.
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lobsters__yogthos@crustaceanson.theshelf.topMtoLobsters - all tags@crustaceanson.theshelf.top•[vibecoding] On not becoming a cyborg
0·2 months agoIt is genuinely fascinating how this always gets reframed as persecution. Nobody is burning you at the stake for having opinions, people are just tired of your performative hand-wringing. This relentless casting of oneself as a martyr for simply typing out a blog post, as if you are bravely whispering truth to power is exhausting.
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I think TFA’s argument completely ignores the elephant in the room which is the economic driver behind this technology. And without addressing that, the whole argument becomes divorced from the material reality we inhabit.
The article makes the following statement:
Yet, here’s what empirical research has to say on the subject:
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